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Patrick Cockburn, discusses “The Surge: A Special Report” which he wrote for the Independent, where he is Middle East correspondent: the split between the Sadr and Hakim factions; American propaganda that Iran is behind Sadr and the Mahdi Army and the “new” EFP bombs; the widespread humanitarian catastrophe; the occupation and sectarian war it has created, divisions in Kurdistan, the crisis in Kirkuk, predictions in the event of an eventual withdrawal, the redirection toward the Sunni insurgency, the unimportance of Allawi, Maliki or anyone else America installs in power, the danger to U.S. soldiers in Iraq if Cheney bombs Iran and predictions for the short and long term.

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